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                                                                                                                                                                          澳门葡京赌城:瑞达期货:郑糖量能俱减,期价下探回升

                                                                                                                                                                          2019-01-31 19:36 789深圳旅行社

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:瑞达期货:郑糖量能俱减,期价下探回升)

                                                                                                                                                                          国内盘面:周四郑糖主力1905合约减仓减量,期价下探回升;最高报5052,最低报4992,收盘5043,较上一交易日+0.24%;成交量463284;持仓382234,-33228,基差137,-12;SR5-9月价差46,+8。

                                                                                                                                                                          外盘走势:洲际交易所(ICE)原糖期货周三继续回落,因供应充裕的前景和技术性卖盘, 3月原糖期货收跌0.16美分,或1.3%,报每磅12.53美分。

                                                                                                                                                                          消息方面:1、巴基斯坦18年12月出口糖70614吨(白糖值),低于17年同期的15.62万吨。18/19榨季10-11月该国无白糖出口记录,17/18榨季10-12月该国糖出口量为38万吨。 2、甘蔗行业组织Unica报告称,1月上半月糖厂甘蔗压榨量为52.4万吨,高于上年同期的16.6万吨。产糖量为1.1万 吨,高于上年同期的0.3万吨。

                                                                                                                                                                          现货方面:柳州中间商站台报价5170-5190;较前一交易日报价保持不变;南宁中间商站台暂且无报价,仓库报价在5170-5190,高低区间缩窄,总体市场成交一般。(单位:元/吨)

                                                                                                                                                                          仓单库存:仓单11526吨,+60,当日仓单小幅增加,但仍处于近三年的同期低位水平。

                                                                                                                                                                          主力持仓:当日主力合约前20名多头持仓197260手,-2538;空头持仓240521手,-11393,净空头持仓仍占据明显优势。

                                                                                                                                                                          总结:国际市场看:据unica知,中南部巴西1月上半月产糖量2640万吨,同比减少27%,但其压榨量高于去年同期水平,叠加巴西产地出现降雨,缓解了前期干旱天气造成的不利影响。此外,印度糖协下调估产,但幅度仍低于市场预期,并且生产进度有所加快,预计后市原糖期价或有所调整。国内糖市而言:现货相对持稳为主,节前备货进入尾声,贸易商相对谨慎。新糖供应将大量上市,年前以小单走货为主,随着物流停滞陆续,预计糖价暂时偏弱为主。技术上,郑糖1905合约日内继续大幅减仓,MACD红色动能柱收敛,并且kdj拐头向下,短期期价或进入偏弱态势,操作上建议短线可在4990-5080区间交易为主,长线可逢高布局空单。

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